Iraqi League
Match Analysis
Newroz
Duhok
Newroz
D
L
D
W
W
L
Duhok
W
L
L
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duhok | Newroz | 1 - 2 | March 2, 2026 |
| Newroz | Duhok | 0 - 2 | October 25, 2025 |
| Duhok | Newroz | 1 - 4 | June 29, 2025 |
Newroz Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jun 1, 26 | Away | Naft | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 27, 26 | Home | Mosul | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 20, 26 | Home | Zakho | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Erbil | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 11, 26 | Away | Al Kahrabaa | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Duhok Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Tikveš | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 1, 26 | Away | Diyala | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 27, 26 | Home | Al Kahrabaa | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 19, 26 | Away | Naft | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 15, 26 | Away | Mosul | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Al-Qasim | 2 - 1 | Win |
Iraqi League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newroz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Duhok | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Newroz to win
This prediction indicates that Newroz has a 42.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.15 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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