Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl Sunday 02nd August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Nizhny Novgorod Shinnik Yaroslavl

Nizhny Novgorod W L W W D D

Shinnik Yaroslavl D D D D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Shinnik Yaroslavl	Nizhny Novgorod	1 - 1	February 12, 2023
Shinnik Yaroslavl	Nizhny Novgorod	1 - 3	March 14, 2021
Nizhny Novgorod	Shinnik Yaroslavl	3 - 0	September 19, 2020
Shinnik Yaroslavl	Nizhny Novgorod	1 - 3	November 3, 2019
Nizhny Novgorod	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2 - 2	October 30, 2019
Nizhny Novgorod	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1 - 3	July 19, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	Rotor Volgograd	4 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Dynamo	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 29, 26	Home	Tekstilshchik	6 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	FC UFA	2 - 1	Win
Jun 16, 26	Home	FC UFA	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Rubin	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	PFC Sochi	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Away	CSKA Moscow	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Chelyabinsk	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 1	Draw
May 4, 26	Away	Ural	0 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	3 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Nizhny Novgorod	1	1	0	0	4	2	+2	3
6	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1

This prediction indicates that Nizhny Novgorod has a 45.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.96 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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