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FA Cup

Sept. 5, 2026 6 days, 9 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

North Ferriby Barton Town Old Boys
North Ferriby L L L D L L
Barton Town Old Boys L W D L W W
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

North Ferriby Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 28, 26 Home Scunthorpe 3 - 6 Loss
Aug 2, 25 Away Redcar Athletic 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 20, 24 Home Newcastle Blue Star 2 - 4 Loss
Aug 17, 24 Away Newcastle Blue Star 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 3, 24 Home Guiseley AFC 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 2, 23 Away Prescot Cables 4 - 2 Loss

Barton Town Old Boys Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 25 Home Carlton Town 1 - 6 Loss
Aug 5, 25 Home Loughborough University 2 - 1 Win
Aug 2, 25 Away Loughborough University 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 31, 24 Home Rugby Town 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 17, 24 Away Northampton ON Chenecks 2 - 3 Win
Aug 3, 24 Home Newark Town 5 - 2 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.88% likelihood that both North Ferriby and Barton Town Old Boys will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
North Ferriby to win
This prediction indicates that North Ferriby has a 44.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.87 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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