MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
North Texas
Minnesota United II
North Texas
L
D
W
L
W
D
Minnesota United II
L
W
W
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United II | North Texas | 0 - 2 | May 10, 2026 |
| Minnesota United II | North Texas | 1 - 0 | April 26, 2026 |
| Minnesota United II | North Texas | 1 - 2 | September 21, 2025 |
| North Texas | Minnesota United II | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2025 |
| Minnesota United II | North Texas | 0 - 1 | May 2, 2025 |
| North Texas | Minnesota United II | 8 - 2 | October 6, 2024 |
North Texas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | LA Galaxy II | 6 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Los Angeles II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | San Jose Earthquakes II | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids II | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | St. Louis City II | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 11, 26 | Away | Whitecaps II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Minnesota United II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers II | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Swope Park Rangers | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | Austin II | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo FC II | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 29, 26 | Home | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 25, 26 | Away | Los Angeles II | 1 - 0 | Loss |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Minnesota United II | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 27 |
| 22 | North Texas | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 29 | +1 | 24 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.91% likelihood that both North Texas and Minnesota United II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.North Texas to win
This prediction indicates that North Texas has a 44.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.01 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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