MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
North Texas
Real Monarchs
North Texas
D
L
W
L
D
W
Real Monarchs
L
L
L
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Monarchs | North Texas | 2 - 2 | March 1, 2026 |
| North Texas | Real Monarchs | 2 - 4 | September 28, 2025 |
| Real Monarchs | North Texas | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2024 |
| North Texas | Real Monarchs | 2 - 1 | May 25, 2024 |
| Real Monarchs | North Texas | 1 - 1 | August 13, 2023 |
| North Texas | Real Monarchs | 0 - 1 | April 22, 2023 |
North Texas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Austin II | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers II | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Tacoma Defiance | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | LA Galaxy II | 6 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Los Angeles II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | San Jose Earthquakes II | 0 - 1 | Win |
Real Monarchs Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo FC II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | St. Louis City II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers II | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Whitecaps II | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Away | Los Angeles II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | North Texas | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 28 |
| 25 | Real Monarchs | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.77% likelihood that both North Texas and Real Monarchs will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.North Texas to win
This prediction indicates that North Texas has a 49.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.30 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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