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League Two
Northampton logo Northampton
Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Newport County logo Newport County

Match Analysis

Northampton Newport County
Northampton L D L W D W
Newport County W D L W L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Newport County Northampton 3 - 0 April 7, 2023
Northampton Newport County 1 - 1 October 29, 2022
Northampton Newport County 1 - 0 February 8, 2022
Newport County Northampton 0 - 1 September 14, 2021
Northampton Newport County 2 - 0 September 14, 2019
Northampton Newport County 1 - 0 March 12, 2019

Northampton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 18, 26 Home Brighton U21 0 - 3 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Swindon Town 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Leicester 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Solihull Moors 2 - 4 Win
Jul 28, 26 Away Cambridge United 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Away Southend 1 - 3 Win

Newport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Rochdale 3 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away AFC Wimbledon 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 4, 26 Home AS Roma 1 - 4 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Yeovil Town 1 - 2 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Reading 0 - 4 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Bath City 2 - 2 Draw

League Two Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Newport County 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Northampton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Northampton to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Northampton has a 40.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.48 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

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