Novara vs Ospitaletto Saturday 26th September 2026 06:30 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone A

Novara

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Ospitaletto

Match Analysis

Novara Ospitaletto

Novara W D L L W W

Ospitaletto W D W D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ospitaletto	Novara	0 - 2	April 25, 2026
Novara	Ospitaletto	0 - 3	December 21, 2025

Novara Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 7, 26	Away	Renate	1 - 2	Win
Aug 31, 26	Home	Folgore Caratese	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Juventus U23	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 5, 26	Away	Virtus Entella	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Sampdoria	1 - 2	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Inter U23	2 - 1	Win

Ospitaletto Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Home	Arzignano Valchiampo	3 - 1	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Albinoleffe	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	Lumezzane	2 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Rovato Vertovese	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Padova	1 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Novara	0 - 2	Loss

Serie C - Girone A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Ospitaletto	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
15	Novara	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Novara to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Novara has a 33.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.36 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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