Serie C - Girone A logo

Serie C - Girone A
Novara logo Novara
Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Pergolettese logo Pergolettese

Match Analysis

Novara Pergolettese
Novara L L W W W L
Pergolettese L D W D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Novara Pergolettese 1 - 1 March 7, 2026
Pergolettese Novara 2 - 2 November 1, 2025
Pergolettese Novara 1 - 2 February 15, 2025
Novara Pergolettese 3 - 1 October 5, 2024
Pergolettese Novara 1 - 1 March 24, 2024
Novara Pergolettese 2 - 1 November 19, 2023

Novara Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Juventus U23 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 5, 26 Away Virtus Entella 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Sampdoria 1 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Inter U23 2 - 1 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Ospitaletto 0 - 2 Win
Apr 19, 26 Home Cittadella 0 - 1 Loss

Pergolettese Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Cittadella 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Inter U23 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Lecco 3 - 0 Win
Apr 19, 26 Away Vicenza Virtus 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 11, 26 Home Virtus Verona 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 6, 26 Away Albinoleffe 3 - 0 Loss

Serie C - Girone A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
16 Novara 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
19 Pergolettese 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Novara to win
This prediction indicates that Novara has a 47.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.86 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Serie C - Girone A

Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Pergolettese vs Union Brescia 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione 12 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Athletic Carpi vs Juventus U23 12 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Arzignano Valchiampo vs PRO Vercelli 12 hours from now · 7 p.m. ›