Novorizontino vs São Bernardo Saturday 26th September 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Serie B

Novorizontino

Sept. 26, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

São Bernardo

Match Analysis

Novorizontino São Bernardo

Novorizontino W W W W W D

São Bernardo L W L D D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
São Bernardo	Novorizontino	1 - 1	May 31, 2026

Novorizontino Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 9, 26	Away	Botafogo SP	1 - 3	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Avai	3 - 1	Win
Aug 28, 26	Home	Sport Recife	2 - 1	Win
Aug 24, 26	Away	Athletic Club	1 - 4	Win
Aug 20, 26	Home	America Mineiro	3 - 0	Win
Aug 16, 26	Away	CRB	0 - 0	Draw

São Bernardo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 10, 26	Home	Londrina	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Away	Ponte Preta	0 - 2	Win
Aug 28, 26	Away	Goias	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Home	Nautico Recife	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 19, 26	Away	Fortaleza EC	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 14, 26	Home	Botafogo SP	0 - 1	Loss

Serie B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Novorizontino	27	14	7	6	47	24	+23	49
14	São Bernardo	27	9	8	10	37	31	+6	35

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Novorizontino to win

This prediction indicates that Novorizontino has a 61.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.87 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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