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Serie C - Girone C

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Nuova Cosenza Cavese
Nuova Cosenza L L D W L W
Cavese W L W W D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cavese Nuova Cosenza 1 - 1 April 26, 2026
Nuova Cosenza Cavese 2 - 1 December 19, 2025

Nuova Cosenza Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Audace Cerignola 3 - 1 Loss
May 6, 26 Home Casarano 1 - 5 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Cavese 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Home Trapani 1905 1 - 0 Win
Apr 13, 26 Away AZ Picerno 3 - 1 Loss
Apr 4, 26 Home Foggia 1 - 0 Win

Cavese Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Home Audace Cerignola 3 - 1 Win
Aug 21, 26 Away Bari 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 6, 26 Away Juve Stabia 0 - 1 Win
Jul 30, 26 Home Sarnese 1 - 0 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Nuova Cosenza 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Away Siracusa 1 - 1 Draw

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
18 Nuova Cosenza 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
20 Cavese 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.08% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Nuova Cosenza to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Nuova Cosenza has a 39.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.96 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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