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Serie C - Girone C

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Sorrento Crotone
Sorrento D D L W L D
Crotone D D L W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sorrento Crotone 2 - 2 March 22, 2026
Crotone Sorrento 3 - 1 November 15, 2025
Sorrento Crotone 2 - 1 February 1, 2025
Crotone Sorrento 1 - 2 September 25, 2024
Sorrento Crotone 1 - 1 February 3, 2024
Crotone Sorrento 1 - 0 September 24, 2023

Sorrento Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Apr 26, 26 Away AZ Picerno 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Home Atalanta II 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 12, 26 Away Potenza 3 - 0 Loss
Apr 6, 26 Home Team Altamura 2 - 0 Win
Mar 30, 26 Away Casertana 2 - 0 Loss
Mar 22, 26 Home Crotone 2 - 2 Draw

Crotone Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 6, 26 Away Casertana 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Audace Cerignola 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home Latina 2 - 5 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Away Casarano 1 - 2 Win
Apr 13, 26 Home Catania 2 - 0 Win
Apr 6, 26 Away Giugliano 1 - 0 Loss

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Crotone None None None None None None None None
None Sorrento None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Crotone to win
This prediction indicates that Crotone has a 58.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.99 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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