Meistriliiga logo

Meistriliiga

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Nõmme United Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United L L L L W W
Flora Tallinn W W L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Flora Tallinn Nõmme United 1 - 2 July 17, 2026
Nõmme United Flora Tallinn 0 - 4 May 29, 2026
Flora Tallinn Nõmme United 3 - 0 March 7, 2026
Nõmme United Flora Tallinn 0 - 4 October 5, 2024
Flora Tallinn Nõmme United 1 - 0 August 18, 2024
Nõmme United Flora Tallinn 1 - 1 June 29, 2024

Nõmme United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Away Paide 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home Tammeka 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Trans Narva 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Flora Tallinn 1 - 2 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Kuressaare 3 - 2 Win

Flora Tallinn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Home Tammeka 3 - 1 Win
Aug 23, 26 Away Vaprus 1 - 2 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Kuressaare 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 13, 26 Away Inter Club d'Escaldes 0 - 4 Win
Aug 6, 26 Home Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home Laagri 1 - 0 Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Flora Tallinn 22 14 0 8 44 25 +19 42
8 Nõmme United 24 8 1 15 41 58 -17 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.68% likelihood that both Nõmme United and Flora Tallinn will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Flora Tallinn to win
This prediction indicates that Flora Tallinn has a 72.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 12.58 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 74.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 77.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]