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Taça de Portugal

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

O Elvas São Roque (Açores)
O Elvas D W L L W D
São Roque (Açores) L L L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

O Elvas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 25 Away AD Marco 09 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 31, 25 Away Lusitânia 0 - 3 Win
Jul 25, 25 Home Pacos Ferreira 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 1, 25 Away Lusitano Évora 1911 2 - 1 Loss
May 24, 25 Home Fátima 2 - 1 Win
May 17, 25 Away Amora 1 - 1 Draw

São Roque (Açores) Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 8, 24 Home Lusitânia 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 11, 22 Away Lajense 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 27, 20 Home Estrela 0 - 3 Loss
Sep 8, 19 Home Torreense 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 24, 16 Home Caldas 0 - 3 Loss
Sep 3, 16 Away Angrense 1 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.39% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
O Elvas to win
This prediction indicates that O Elvas has a 53.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.64 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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