USL Championship
Match Analysis
Oakland Roots
Phoenix Rising
Oakland Roots
D
W
D
L
D
L
Phoenix Rising
D
W
D
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Rising | Oakland Roots | 3 - 4 | June 21, 2026 |
| Phoenix Rising | Oakland Roots | 2 - 2 | March 22, 2026 |
| Phoenix Rising | Oakland Roots | 3 - 3 | September 28, 2025 |
| Oakland Roots | Phoenix Rising | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2025 |
| Oakland Roots | Phoenix Rising | 0 - 1 | October 13, 2024 |
| Phoenix Rising | Oakland Roots | 1 - 0 | March 24, 2024 |
Oakland Roots Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Orange County SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | San Antonio | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Monterey Bay | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | El Paso Locomotive | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | Las Vegas Lights | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Phoenix Rising Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Monterey Bay | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Indy Eleven | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Sacramento Republic | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Colorado Springs | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Lexington | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Las Vegas Lights | 1 - 1 | Draw |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Phoenix Rising | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 31 | +1 | 30 |
| 19 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.56% likelihood that both Oakland Roots and Phoenix Rising will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Oakland Roots or Phoenix Rising to win
This prediction indicates that Oakland Roots has a 39.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.89 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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