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USL Championship

Sept. 13, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Oakland Roots Lexington
Oakland Roots W D L D L L
Lexington L W L W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Lexington Oakland Roots 2 - 0 July 22, 2026
Oakland Roots Lexington 3 - 0 October 26, 2025
Lexington Oakland Roots 2 - 1 August 23, 2025

Oakland Roots Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Away San Antonio 0 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Monterey Bay 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Away El Paso Locomotive 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 6, 26 Away Las Vegas Lights 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Sacramento Republic 1 - 3 Loss

Lexington Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 27, 26 Away New Mexico United 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Las Vegas Lights 2 - 0 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Sacramento Republic 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Phoenix Rising 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Monterey Bay 3 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away FC Tulsa 0 - 0 Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Lexington 21 9 4 8 31 25 +6 31
18 Oakland Roots 22 6 8 8 27 30 -3 26

Predictions

Oakland Roots to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Oakland Roots has a 36.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.34 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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