Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic Sunday 26th July 2026 05:00 AM football predictions.

Oakland Roots Sacramento Republic

Oakland Roots L W D D L L

Sacramento Republic W L W L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sacramento Republic	Oakland Roots	3 - 3	August 17, 2025
Oakland Roots	Sacramento Republic	0 - 1	May 4, 2025
Oakland Roots	Sacramento Republic	2 - 5	July 21, 2024
Sacramento Republic	Oakland Roots	2 - 3	June 16, 2024
Oakland Roots	Sacramento Republic	0 - 1	September 3, 2023
Sacramento Republic	Oakland Roots	3 - 1	May 21, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	New Mexico United	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	3 - 4	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	Birmingham Legion	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Miami FC	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Orange County SC	3 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 9, 26	Home	Rhode Island	2 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	New Mexico United	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	2 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	San Antonio	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Orange County SC	3 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Oakland Roots	15	5	6	4	24	22	+2	21
19	Sacramento Republic	12	4	4	4	13	12	+1	16

This prediction indicates that Sacramento Republic has a 43.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.85 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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