Victoria NPL
Match Analysis
Oakleigh Cannons
South Melbourne
Oakleigh Cannons
W
D
W
W
D
W
South Melbourne
W
W
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Melbourne | Oakleigh Cannons | 0 - 3 | April 19, 2026 |
| Oakleigh Cannons | South Melbourne | 3 - 0 | August 23, 2025 |
| South Melbourne | Oakleigh Cannons | 1 - 2 | May 11, 2025 |
| South Melbourne | Oakleigh Cannons | 0 - 1 | September 7, 2024 |
| South Melbourne | Oakleigh Cannons | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2024 |
| Oakleigh Cannons | South Melbourne | 0 - 0 | March 22, 2024 |
Oakleigh Cannons Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Avondale | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Sunshine Georgies | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Heidelberg United | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 19, 26 | Home | Melbourne City II | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 5, 26 | Home | St. Albans Saints | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Altona Magic | 0 - 2 | Win |
South Melbourne Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Dandenong City | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Dandenong Thunder | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Green Gully | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 19, 26 | Away | Bentleigh Greens | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Altona Magic | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Hume City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Victoria NPL Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 18 | +23 | 41 |
| 6 | South Melbourne | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.17% likelihood that both Oakleigh Cannons and South Melbourne will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Oakleigh Cannons to win
This prediction indicates that Oakleigh Cannons has a 70.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.93 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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