Ogre United vs Rīgas FS Sunday 30th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Virsliga

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Ogre United Rīgas FS

Ogre United L D L W L W

Rīgas FS L W L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Rīgas FS	Ogre United	6 - 0	June 22, 2026
Ogre United	Rīgas FS	3 - 4	May 2, 2026
Rīgas FS	Ogre United	2 - 0	March 6, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 9, 26	Away	Riga	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 27, 26	Away	Grobiņa	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Home	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 6, 26	Away	Super Nova	1 - 2	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	FK Liepaja	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Tukums	3 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 13, 26	Home	FK Jablonec	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 10, 26	Home	Grobiņa	6 - 1	Win
Aug 6, 26	Away	FK Jablonec	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 30, 26	Away	Vestri	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 27, 26	Away	Tukums	0 - 1	Win
Jul 23, 26	Home	Vestri	4 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Rīgas FS	24	20	2	2	56	16	+40	62
10	Ogre United	25	3	5	17	24	65	-41	14

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.81% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Rīgas FS has a 79.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 10.61 %

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