Ogre United vs Riga Saturday 13th June 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Ogre United Riga

Ogre United L D L L L L

Riga W W W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Riga	Ogre United	4 - 0	April 22, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Auda	2 - 0	Loss
May 25, 26	Home	Grobiņa	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Super Nova	3 - 1	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	FK Liepaja	4 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Away	Tukums	6 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Home	Grobiņa	2 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Super Nova	3 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Tukums	1 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Home	FS Jelgava	2 - 2	Draw
May 12, 26	Home	Auda	4 - 1	Win
May 8, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Riga	16	12	3	1	50	17	+33	39
10	Ogre United	16	0	4	12	13	38	-25	4

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.07% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Riga has a 93.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 5.36 %

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