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Virsliga

June 13, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 4
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ogre United Riga
Ogre United L D L L L L
Riga W W W D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Riga Ogre United 4 - 0 April 22, 2026

Ogre United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Auda 2 - 0 Loss
May 25, 26 Home Grobiņa 1 - 1 Draw
May 21, 26 Away BFC Daugavpils 3 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Super Nova 3 - 1 Loss
May 12, 26 Away FK Liepaja 4 - 1 Loss
May 7, 26 Away Tukums 6 - 1 Loss

Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Home Grobiņa 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Home Super Nova 3 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Away Tukums 1 - 3 Win
May 16, 26 Home FS Jelgava 2 - 2 Draw
May 12, 26 Home Auda 4 - 1 Win
May 8, 26 Away BFC Daugavpils 1 - 3 Win

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Riga 16 12 3 1 50 17 +33 39
10 Ogre United 16 0 4 12 13 38 -25 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.07% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Riga to win
This prediction indicates that Riga has a 93.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 5.36 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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