Okzhetpes vs FK Tobol Kostanay Sunday 21st June 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Okzhetpes FK Tobol Kostanay

Okzhetpes D D W W D W

FK Tobol Kostanay W D L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FK Tobol Kostanay	Okzhetpes	2 - 1	July 13, 2025
Okzhetpes	FK Tobol Kostanay	0 - 1	April 5, 2025
FK Tobol Kostanay	Okzhetpes	2 - 0	July 23, 2023
Okzhetpes	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 2	May 28, 2023
Okzhetpes	FK Tobol Kostanay	0 - 2	November 24, 2020
FK Tobol Kostanay	Okzhetpes	1 - 0	September 22, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Away	Zhetysu	2 - 2	Draw
May 28, 26	Home	Aktobe	2 - 2	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	Altay	0 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	FC Astana	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Atyrau	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Kyzyl-Zhar	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Atyrau	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Ordabasy	0 - 3	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Kaisar	2 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Irtysh	1 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Zhenys	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Okzhetpes	13	6	6	1	18	12	+6	24
13	FK Tobol Kostanay	13	3	3	7	12	20	-8	12

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Okzhetpes has a 37.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.39 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

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