USL Championship
Match Analysis
Orange County SC
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Orange County SC
D
D
L
L
L
W
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
D
D
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Orange County SC | 1 - 1 | August 9, 2025 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Orange County SC | 0 - 2 | March 16, 2024 |
| Orange County SC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 - 0 | August 17, 2023 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Orange County SC | 1 - 1 | September 24, 2022 |
Orange County SC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Sacramento Republic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Oakland Roots | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | FC Tulsa | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Louisville City | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | El Paso Locomotive | 2 - 0 | Win |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | El Paso Locomotive | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Brooklyn | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Charleston Battery | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sacramento Republic | 0 - 0 | Draw |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Orange County SC | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 36 |
| 9 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 25 | +2 | 35 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.67% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Orange County SC to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Orange County SC has a 39.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.57 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments