Segunda División
Match Analysis
Oriental
Atenas
Oriental
L
W
D
L
D
D
Atenas
W
L
L
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atenas | Oriental | 1 - 2 | August 20, 2025 |
| Oriental | Atenas | 1 - 1 | May 30, 2025 |
| Atenas | Oriental | 3 - 1 | November 9, 2024 |
| Oriental | Atenas | 5 - 0 | July 20, 2024 |
| Atenas | Oriental | 0 - 1 | September 3, 2023 |
| Oriental | Atenas | 3 - 1 | May 13, 2023 |
Oriental Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Paysandu | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Sportivo Huracan | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Uruguay Montevideo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | CA River Plate | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Colón | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Fenix | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Atenas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Colón | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Fenix | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Rentistas | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 6, 26 | Away | Miramar | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Tacuarembo | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Plaza Colonia | 1 - 2 | Win |
Segunda División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Oriental | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 19 | +5 | 28 |
| 7 | Atenas | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Oriental to win
This prediction indicates that Oriental has a 42.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.52 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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