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La Liga
Osasuna logo Osasuna
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Rayo Vallecano logo Rayo Vallecano

Match Analysis

Osasuna Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna W W D L L W
Rayo Vallecano L D L L W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rayo Vallecano Osasuna 1 - 3 January 24, 2026
Osasuna Rayo Vallecano 2 - 0 September 14, 2025
Osasuna Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 January 19, 2025
Rayo Vallecano Osasuna 3 - 1 September 16, 2024
Rayo Vallecano Osasuna 2 - 1 April 20, 2024
Osasuna Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 December 15, 2023

Osasuna Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 31, 26 Home Getafe 1 - 0 Win
Aug 27, 26 Away Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Win
Aug 24, 26 Home Levante 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Al Ain 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 5, 26 Away Napoli 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Norwich 1 - 2 Win

Rayo Vallecano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 31, 26 Away Barcelona 5 - 2 Loss
Aug 20, 26 Home Alaves 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Sevilla 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Ipswich 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Charleroi 2 - 3 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Feyenoord 2 - 1 Loss

La Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Osasuna 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7
18 Rayo Vallecano 3 0 1 2 4 8 -4 1

Predictions

Osasuna to win
This prediction indicates that Osasuna has a 40.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.58 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid 11 hours from now · 5:15 p.m. › Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander 14 hours from now · 7:30 p.m. › Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna 16 hours from now · 10 p.m. ›