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FA Cup

Sept. 4, 2026 5 days, 15 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Ossett United Pontefract Collieries
Ossett United L L L L L L
Pontefract Collieries L L W W L W
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ossett United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 25 Away Atherton Laburnum Rovers 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 19, 25 Home Scarborough Athletic 0 - 4 Loss
Aug 3, 24 Home Widnes 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 24 Home Curzon Ashton 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 9, 24 Home Huddersfield 1 - 4 Loss
Sep 2, 23 Home Marske United 0 - 3 Loss

Pontefract Collieries Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 28, 26 Home Guiseley AFC 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 30, 25 Away Morpeth Town 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 25 Home Blyth Spartans 1 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 25 Away Newcastle Benfield 2 - 3 Win
Aug 31, 24 Away Sheffield 5 - 0 Loss
Aug 17, 24 Home Redcar Athletic 3 - 0 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Pontefract Collieries to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Pontefract Collieries has a 37.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.03 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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