Segunda División
Match Analysis
Oviedo
Burgos
Oviedo
L
D
W
L
W
D
Burgos
W
D
L
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | Oviedo | 1 - 2 | February 22, 2025 |
| Oviedo | Burgos | 3 - 1 | November 3, 2024 |
| Oviedo | Burgos | 5 - 0 | February 17, 2024 |
| Burgos | Oviedo | 1 - 0 | August 26, 2023 |
| Oviedo | Burgos | 0 - 1 | February 12, 2023 |
| Burgos | Oviedo | 0 - 0 | September 10, 2022 |
Oviedo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Leganes | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Granada CF | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | LE Havre | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | FC Nurnberg | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Ponferradina | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Deportivo La Coruna | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Burgos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Cordoba | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Cultural Leonesa | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Athletic Club | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Unionistas de Salamanca | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Athletic Club II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Real Sociedad II | 2 - 0 | Win |
Segunda División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Burgos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 | Oviedo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Oviedo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Oviedo has a 37.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.57 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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