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Taça de Portugal

Aug. 29, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Pacos Ferreira Fafe
Pacos Ferreira L L D L W D
Fafe D W W L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Fafe Pacos Ferreira 1 - 1 August 2, 2025

Pacos Ferreira Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Paredes 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away AD Marco 09 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 29, 26 Home Felgueiras 1932 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home AVS 0 - 2 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Penafiel 2 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Farense 1 - 1 Draw

Fafe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Vianense 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Home Maria da Fonte 2 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Sanjoanense 0 - 1 Win
Jul 15, 26 Away Chaves 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Vizela 0 - 3 Win
May 3, 26 Away SC Braga B 0 - 0 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Fafe to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Fafe has a 35.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.31 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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