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Liga 3

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Pacos Ferreira Varzim
Pacos Ferreira D L W D L L
Varzim W L D L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Pacos Ferreira Varzim 1 - 0 February 10, 2019
Varzim Pacos Ferreira 0 - 1 September 2, 2018

Pacos Ferreira Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Home Felgueiras 1932 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home AVS 0 - 2 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Penafiel 2 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Farense 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Feirense 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Lusitânia Lourosa 2 - 0 Loss

Varzim Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Away Tirsense 0 - 1 Win
Jul 15, 26 Away Tondela 1 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Away União Santarém 2 - 2 Draw
May 10, 26 Home CF Os Belenenses 1 - 2 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Academica 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Guimaraes B 2 - 2 Draw

Liga 3 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Varzim 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Pacos Ferreira 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Pacos Ferreira to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Pacos Ferreira has a 35.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.35 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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