Serie B
Match Analysis
Padova
Ascoli
Padova
W
L
D
W
L
L
Ascoli
W
L
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | Ascoli | 1 - 2 | April 2, 2019 |
| Ascoli | Padova | 2 - 3 | November 10, 2018 |
Padova Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Pisa | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Udinese | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Monza | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Cittadella | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Ospitaletto | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Sassuolo | 4 - 1 | Loss |
Ascoli Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Verona | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Genoa | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Potenza | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Lazio | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Frosinone | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Union Brescia | 3 - 0 | Win |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ascoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Padova | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.4% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Padova to win
This prediction indicates that Padova has a 43.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.45 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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