1. Division logo

1. Division
Pafos logo Pafos
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
AEL logo AEL

Match Analysis

Pafos AEL
Pafos W D D D W W
AEL W W D W L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Pafos AEL 3 - 1 April 22, 2026
AEL Pafos 1 - 2 April 8, 2026
AEL Pafos 0 - 1 February 15, 2026
Pafos AEL 1 - 0 November 2, 2025
Pafos AEL 4 - 0 January 6, 2025
AEL Pafos 1 - 3 September 22, 2024

Pafos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Karmiotissa 0 - 3 Win
Aug 27, 26 Home Dinamo Tirana 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 20, 26 Away Dinamo Tirana 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 13, 26 Away Red Bull Salzburg 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 6, 26 Home Red Bull Salzburg 1 - 0 Win
Jul 30, 26 Home HNK Hajduk Split 4 - 0 Win

AEL Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Anorthosis 2 - 0 Win
Aug 19, 26 Away Krasava Odintsovo 0 - 4 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Radomiak Radom 1 - 1 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Akritas 1 - 2 Win
May 9, 26 Home Olympiakos 1 - 3 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Digenis Ypsonas 1 - 1 Draw

1. Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Pafos 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
4 AEL 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Pafos to win
This prediction indicates that Pafos has a 64.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.55 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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1. Division

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