Paide vs Kuressaare Sunday 31st May 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Paide Kuressaare

Paide L L W L L D

Kuressaare W L L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kuressaare	Paide	0 - 1	April 3, 2026
Kuressaare	Paide	1 - 1	October 4, 2025
Paide	Kuressaare	5 - 1	August 16, 2025
Paide	Kuressaare	1 - 1	May 4, 2025
Kuressaare	Paide	1 - 2	March 2, 2025
Paide	Kuressaare	4 - 3	September 21, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 20, 26	Away	Trans Narva	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Nõmme United	2 - 3	Win
May 1, 26	Home	Tammeka	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Away	Laagri	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 20, 26	Home	Nõmme United	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Kalju Nomme	0 - 2	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Tammeka	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Nõmme United	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Home	Vaprus	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Paide	13	6	2	5	21	18	+3	20
9	Kuressaare	13	3	0	10	12	24	-12	9

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.81% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Paide has a 72.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.37 %

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