Paide vs Laagri Wednesday 17th June 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Paide Laagri

Paide D D L L W L

Laagri W W L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Laagri	Paide	2 - 2	April 22, 2026
Laagri	Paide	3 - 0	September 20, 2025
Paide	Laagri	2 - 0	August 3, 2025
Paide	Laagri	2 - 2	May 17, 2025
Laagri	Paide	1 - 2	April 12, 2025
Paide	Laagri	4 - 0	October 8, 2023

Paide Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Away	Kalju Nomme	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Kuressaare	1 - 1	Draw
May 20, 26	Away	Trans Narva	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Nõmme United	2 - 3	Win
May 1, 26	Home	Tammeka	0 - 1	Loss

Laagri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Away	Kuressaare	2 - 3	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Trans Narva	3 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Kalju Nomme	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Vaprus	1 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	FC Levadia Tallinn	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 30, 26	Away	Flora Tallinn	5 - 0	Loss

Meistriliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Laagri	15	8	1	6	22	24	-2	25
6	Paide	15	6	4	5	23	20	+3	22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.56% likelihood that both Paide and Laagri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Paide to win

This prediction indicates that Paide has a 61.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.08 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 73.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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