Meistriliiga
Match Analysis
Paide
Vaprus
Paide
W
L
W
D
W
D
Vaprus
L
W
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paide | Vaprus | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| Vaprus | Paide | 3 - 2 | March 7, 2026 |
| Paide | Vaprus | 3 - 0 | November 2, 2025 |
| Vaprus | Paide | 1 - 0 | August 30, 2025 |
| Vaprus | Paide | 1 - 2 | June 18, 2025 |
| Paide | Vaprus | 1 - 0 | April 9, 2025 |
Paide Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Zira | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Laagri | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Hegelmann Litauen | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | Hegelmann Litauen | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Vaprus | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Trans Narva | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Tammeka | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Paide | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Kuressaare | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 16, 26 | Home | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Tammeka | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Meistriliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paide | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 23 | +7 | 32 |
| 5 | Vaprus | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 32 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.19% likelihood that both Paide and Vaprus will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Paide to win
This prediction indicates that Paide has a 58.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.94 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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