Meistriliiga
Match Analysis
Paide
Vaprus
Paide
W
W
D
L
L
W
Vaprus
D
L
L
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paide | Vaprus | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| Vaprus | Paide | 3 - 2 | March 7, 2026 |
| Paide | Vaprus | 3 - 0 | November 2, 2025 |
| Vaprus | Paide | 1 - 0 | August 30, 2025 |
| Vaprus | Paide | 1 - 2 | June 18, 2025 |
| Paide | Vaprus | 1 - 0 | April 9, 2025 |
Paide Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Nõmme United | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Trans Narva | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Rapid Vienna | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Rapid Vienna | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Kuressaare | 1 - 0 | Win |
Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Kuressaare | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Trans Narva | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Tammeka | 5 - 1 | Win |
Meistriliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paide | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 30 | +8 | 39 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 34 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.34% likelihood that both Paide and Vaprus will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Paide to win
This prediction indicates that Paide has a 61.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.92 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments