Serie B logo

Serie B
Palermo logo Palermo
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Padova logo Padova

Match Analysis

Palermo Padova
Palermo L W W W L W
Padova D W L D W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Padova Palermo 0 - 1 March 21, 2026
Palermo Padova 1 - 0 December 27, 2025
Palermo Padova 1 - 0 June 12, 2022
Padova Palermo 0 - 1 June 5, 2022
Palermo Padova 1 - 1 April 22, 2019
Padova Palermo 1 - 3 December 8, 2018

Palermo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 3, 26 Away Mantova 5 - 2 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Away Arezzo 2 - 3 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Juve Stabia 1 - 0 Win
Aug 17, 26 Home Lecce 2 - 0 Win
Aug 11, 26 Away Juventus 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Melbourne City 0 - 2 Win

Padova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Verona 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Away Pisa 0 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Udinese 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Monza 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Cittadella 0 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Ospitaletto 1 - 3 Loss

Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Padova 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
8 Palermo 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Palermo to win
This prediction indicates that Palermo has a 60.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.56 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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