Primera División
Match Analysis
Palestino
U. Catolica
Palestino
L
W
W
L
W
L
U. Catolica
W
L
L
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| U. Catolica | Palestino | 6 - 1 | April 2, 2026 |
| U. Catolica | Palestino | 2 - 1 | November 22, 2025 |
| Palestino | U. Catolica | 1 - 1 | June 1, 2025 |
| U. Catolica | Palestino | 1 - 1 | March 5, 2025 |
| U. Catolica | Palestino | 1 - 1 | August 3, 2024 |
| Palestino | U. Catolica | 0 - 2 | March 2, 2024 |
Palestino Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Cobresal | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | O'Higgins | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Home | Huachipato | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Universidad de Chile | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Coquimbo Unido | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Nublense | 2 - 0 | Loss |
U. Catolica Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Coquimbo Unido | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Nublense | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Estudiantes L.P. | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Cobresal | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Concepción | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | U. Catolica | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 29 | +14 | 33 |
| 4 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 27 | +5 | 33 |
Predictions
Palestino to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Palestino has a 36.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.99 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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