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A Lyga

Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Panevėžys Kauno Žalgiris
Panevėžys L L W D D D
Kauno Žalgiris W L D L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kauno Žalgiris Panevėžys 3 - 0 July 11, 2026
Panevėžys Kauno Žalgiris 1 - 1 May 10, 2026
Kauno Žalgiris Panevėžys 4 - 0 March 10, 2026
Kauno Žalgiris Panevėžys 3 - 2 November 2, 2025
Panevėžys Kauno Žalgiris 1 - 0 August 24, 2025
Kauno Žalgiris Panevėžys 3 - 0 June 24, 2025

Panevėžys Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Away Suduva Marijampole 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 17, 26 Away Šiauliai 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 10, 26 Away TransINVEST Vilnius 0 - 2 Win
Aug 3, 26 Home Džiugas Telšiai 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 30, 26 Away FK Tobol Kostanay 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 23, 26 Home FK Tobol Kostanay 1 - 1 Draw

Kauno Žalgiris Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 27, 26 Home Besiktas 1 - 0 Win
Aug 20, 26 Away Besiktas 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home TransINVEST Vilnius 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 11, 26 Home Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Hegelmann Litauen 2 - 0 Win
Aug 4, 26 Away Dinamo Zagreb 5 - 0 Loss

A Lyga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Kauno Žalgiris 24 12 8 4 47 17 +30 44
7 Panevėžys 25 7 5 13 23 42 -19 26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.78% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Kauno Žalgiris to win
This prediction indicates that Kauno Žalgiris has a 56.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.61 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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