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J3 League

Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Parceiro Nagano Tochigi SC
Parceiro Nagano L W W L W L
Tochigi SC L L D W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tochigi SC Parceiro Nagano 0 - 0 May 31, 2026
Parceiro Nagano Tochigi SC 0 - 4 November 29, 2025
Tochigi SC Parceiro Nagano 1 - 0 May 6, 2025
Tochigi SC Parceiro Nagano 0 - 0 November 26, 2017
Parceiro Nagano Tochigi SC 0 - 0 July 15, 2017
Tochigi SC Parceiro Nagano 0 - 1 November 13, 2016

Parceiro Nagano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Away FC Tokyo 6 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 1 Win
Aug 19, 26 Home Fukui United 2 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Osaka 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Renofa Yamaguchi 1 - 0 Win
Jul 12, 26 Home Iwaki 1 - 3 Loss

Tochigi SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away FC Gifu 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Away Kawasaki Frontale 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Kitakyushu 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Home Urayasu 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Kanazawa 3 - 2 Win

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Parceiro Nagano 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
8 Tochigi SC 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Parceiro Nagano or Tochigi SC to win
This prediction indicates that Tochigi SC has a 39.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.60 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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