UEFA Champions League
Match Analysis
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
L
W
W
D
D
W
Arsenal
W
W
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | Arsenal | 2 - 1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Arsenal | Paris Saint Germain | 0 - 1 | April 29, 2025 |
| Arsenal | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 0 | October 1, 2024 |
| Arsenal | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 2 | November 23, 2016 |
| Paris Saint Germain | Arsenal | 1 - 1 | September 13, 2016 |
Paris Saint Germain Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 26 | Away | Paris FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Lens | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Stade Brestois 29 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 6, 26 | Away | Bayern München | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Lorient | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 28, 26 | Home | Bayern München | 5 - 4 | Win |
Arsenal Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Away | Crystal Palace | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 18, 26 | Home | Burnley | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | West Ham | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 5, 26 | Home | Atletico Madrid | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Fulham | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 29, 26 | Away | Atletico Madrid | 1 - 1 | Draw |
UEFA Champions League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 6 | +23 | 36 |
| 3 | Paris Saint Germain | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 44 | 22 | +22 | 34 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.69% likelihood that both Paris Saint Germain and Arsenal will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Paris Saint Germain to win
This prediction indicates that Paris Saint Germain has a 54.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.32 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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