Serie C
Match Analysis
Paysandu
Ferroviária
Paysandu
L
L
L
W
L
W
Ferroviária
W
D
W
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | Paysandu | 1 - 0 | September 13, 2026 |
| Ferroviária | Paysandu | 4 - 0 | August 17, 2026 |
| Ferroviária | Paysandu | 2 - 2 | October 20, 2025 |
| Paysandu | Ferroviária | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2025 |
Paysandu Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Ferroviária | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 7, 26 | Home | Brusque | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Maringá | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Ituano | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Ferroviária | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Confiança | 2 - 1 | Win |
Ferroviária Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Paysandu | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Inter De Limeira | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Confiança | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Ypiranga-RS | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Paysandu | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Figueirense | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Serie C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ferroviária | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 34 |
| 9 | Paysandu | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 29 |
Predictions
Paysandu to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Paysandu has a 36.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.05 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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