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Serie C

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Paysandu Maringá
Paysandu W L W L L W
Maringá L D W W D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Paysandu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 10, 26 Home Confiança 2 - 1 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Amazonas 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home Guarani Campinas 3 - 2 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away Ypiranga-RS 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Santa Cruz 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away Maranhão 0 - 1 Win

Maringá Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Amazonas 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 27, 26 Away Floresta 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 12, 26 Away Anápolis 0 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home Volta Redonda 4 - 0 Win
Jun 27, 26 Away Inter De Limeira 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Away Caxias 1 - 1 Draw

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Paysandu 15 7 2 6 23 21 +2 23
10 Maringá 16 6 5 5 28 28 0 23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.84% likelihood that both Paysandu and Maringá will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Paysandu or Maringá to win
This prediction indicates that Paysandu has a 39.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.42 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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