Segunda Liga
Match Analysis
Penafiel
Academica
Penafiel
D
L
L
L
D
L
Academica
W
W
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | Penafiel | 0 - 0 | April 16, 2022 |
| Penafiel | Academica | 0 - 0 | December 5, 2021 |
| Penafiel | Academica | 1 - 2 | March 7, 2021 |
| Academica | Penafiel | 2 - 1 | October 18, 2020 |
| Academica | Penafiel | 3 - 0 | March 5, 2020 |
| Penafiel | Academica | 0 - 0 | October 26, 2019 |
Penafiel Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Torreense | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Portimonense | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Leganes | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Guimaraes | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Famalicao | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Pacos Ferreira | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Academica Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Tondela | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Feirense | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Chaves | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Caldas | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | União Santarém | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | FC Porto B | 1 - 3 | Win |
Segunda Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Academica to win
This prediction indicates that Academica has a 50.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.36 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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