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Premier League
Penybont logo Penybont
Sept. 4, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Colwyn Bay logo Colwyn Bay

Match Analysis

Penybont Colwyn Bay
Penybont W W D L L W
Colwyn Bay L D W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Colwyn Bay Penybont 0 - 0 April 25, 2026
Penybont Colwyn Bay 0 - 0 March 28, 2026
Colwyn Bay Penybont 3 - 1 February 21, 2026
Colwyn Bay Penybont 5 - 4 November 29, 2025
Penybont Colwyn Bay 1 - 0 September 27, 2025
Penybont Colwyn Bay 5 - 0 March 16, 2024

Penybont Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Haverfordwest County AFC 0 - 3 Win
Aug 7, 26 Away Caernarfon Town 1 - 2 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home The New Saints 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 16, 26 Away FC Santa Coloma 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 9, 26 Home FC Santa Coloma 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 23, 26 Away Trethomas Bluebirds 0 - 3 Win

Colwyn Bay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Caernarfon Town 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Ammanford AFC 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Home Trefelin 2 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Bootle 1 - 0 Win
Jul 14, 26 Away Marine 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Altrincham 2 - 2 Draw

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Penybont 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
8 Colwyn Bay 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4

Predictions

Penybont to win
This prediction indicates that Penybont has a 47.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.37 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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