PEPO vs HPS Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

PEPO HPS

PEPO D L W D D W

HPS W L W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
HPS	PEPO	1 - 2	May 2, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	PPJ	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	HIFK Elsinki	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 4, 26	Home	Reipas	2 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Away	MyPa	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Union Plaani	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	PuiU Helsinki	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	PuiU Helsinki	0 - 2	Win
Jun 12, 26	Home	Kiffen	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Union Plaani	0 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	PPJ	2 - 2	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	HIFK Elsinki	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Atlantis	4 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PEPO	9	5	3	1	15	9	+6	18
6	HPS	9	4	2	3	18	15	+3	14

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.57% likelihood that both PEPO and HPS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

This prediction indicates that PEPO will score 2 goals, and HPS will score 2 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

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