Perugia vs Ostia Mare Sunday 23rd August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone B

Perugia

Aug. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Ostia Mare

Match Analysis

Perugia Ostia Mare

Perugia D L D D W D

Ostia Mare L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Perugia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 26, 26	Away	Forli	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Città di Campobasso	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Away	Ternana	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Home	Juventus U23	2 - 2	Draw
Mar 29, 26	Away	Vis Pesaro	0 - 1	Win
Mar 20, 26	Home	Torres	1 - 1	Draw

Ostia Mare Form (Last 2 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 5, 26	Away	Lazio	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Benevento	0 - 2	Loss

Serie C - Girone B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Ostia Mare	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Perugia	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.45% likelihood that both Perugia and Ostia Mare will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Perugia to win

This prediction indicates that Perugia has a 42.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.94 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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