Peterhead vs Elgin City Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Challenge Cup

Peterhead

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Elgin City

Match Analysis

Peterhead Elgin City

Peterhead W L D W L W

Elgin City W L W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Elgin City	Peterhead	1 - 3	July 14, 2026
Peterhead	Elgin City	1 - 1	September 23, 2025
Elgin City	Peterhead	4 - 0	April 19, 2025
Peterhead	Elgin City	2 - 0	March 1, 2025
Elgin City	Peterhead	2 - 0	December 28, 2024
Peterhead	Elgin City	0 - 1	October 5, 2024

Peterhead Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Home	Clachnacuddin	2 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Montrose	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 25, 26	Home	Dundee II	2 - 1	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Cove Rangers	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	East Fife	2 - 1	Win

Elgin City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Home	Fraserburgh	7 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Dumbarton	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Stirling Albion	4 - 0	Win
Aug 25, 26	Away	Clachnacuddin	0 - 2	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Spartans	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Kelty Hearts	4 - 1	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.93% likelihood that both Peterhead and Elgin City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Peterhead to win

This prediction indicates that Peterhead has a 44.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.60 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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