First League
Match Analysis
PFC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
PFC Sochi
W
W
W
L
W
L
Nizhny Novgorod
L
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nizhny Novgorod | PFC Sochi | 2 - 1 | March 7, 2026 |
| PFC Sochi | Nizhny Novgorod | 2 - 1 | October 5, 2025 |
| Nizhny Novgorod | PFC Sochi | 1 - 3 | May 31, 2025 |
| PFC Sochi | Nizhny Novgorod | 1 - 2 | May 28, 2025 |
| PFC Sochi | Nizhny Novgorod | 6 - 1 | May 12, 2024 |
| Nizhny Novgorod | PFC Sochi | 1 - 0 | October 29, 2023 |
PFC Sochi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | FK Neftekhimik | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Volga Ulyanovsk | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Torpedo Moskva | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Leningradets | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Arsenal Tula | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Spartak Kostroma | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Nizhny Novgorod Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Veles | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Tekstilshchik | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | FK Neftekhimik | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Chelyabinsk | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | KAMAZ | 1 - 2 | Win |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 18 |
| 3 | PFC Sochi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 13 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.41% likelihood that both PFC Sochi and Nizhny Novgorod will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Nizhny Novgorod to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Nizhny Novgorod has a 38.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.45 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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