Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
L
D
L
L
D
L
Atlanta United FC
L
L
D
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC | Philadelphia Union | 3 - 1 | March 14, 2026 |
| Atlanta United FC | Philadelphia Union | 0 - 1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Philadelphia Union | Atlanta United FC | 3 - 0 | April 19, 2025 |
| Philadelphia Union | Atlanta United FC | 1 - 1 | September 28, 2024 |
| Atlanta United FC | Philadelphia Union | 2 - 2 | April 14, 2024 |
| Philadelphia Union | Atlanta United FC | 3 - 2 | October 4, 2023 |
Philadelphia Union Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Away | Inter Miami | 6 - 4 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Columbus Crew | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Orlando City SC | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Nashville SC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Atlanta United FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Nashville SC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Orlando City SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | CF Montreal | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Toronto FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 11 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 7 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.5% likelihood that both Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Philadelphia Union to win
This prediction indicates that Philadelphia Union has a 50.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.34 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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