Phoenix Rising vs Hartford Athletic Sunday 26th July 2026 05:30 AM football predictions.

Phoenix Rising Hartford Athletic

Phoenix Rising L L D L W L

Hartford Athletic D L D W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hartford Athletic	Phoenix Rising	0 - 0	July 26, 2024
Phoenix Rising	Hartford Athletic	3 - 1	May 14, 2023
Hartford Athletic	Phoenix Rising	1 - 2	May 28, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Oakland Roots	3 - 4	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 11, 26	Home	Louisville City	0 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Sacramento Republic	2 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Home	Orange County SC	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Away	Louisville City	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	New Mexico United	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	FC Tulsa	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
14	Hartford Athletic	14	4	7	3	12	13	-1	19
17	Phoenix Rising	15	4	5	6	20	22	-2	17

This prediction indicates that Phoenix Rising has a 36.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.94 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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