Ettan - Norra logo

Ettan - Norra
Piteå logo Piteå
Sept. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Karlberg logo Karlberg

Match Analysis

Piteå Karlberg
Piteå D D L L D L
Karlberg W L W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Karlberg Piteå 3 - 1 June 24, 2026
Piteå Karlberg 1 - 1 September 1, 2024
Karlberg Piteå 1 - 0 April 7, 2024

Piteå Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Home Vasalund 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Away Arlanda 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home gefle IF 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 24, 26 Away Karlberg 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home AFC Eskilstuna 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Away Umeå FC 2 - 0 Loss

Karlberg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Stocksund 2 - 0 Win
Aug 7, 26 Away Enköping 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Stocksund 0 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away AFC Eskilstuna 1 - 2 Win
Jul 21, 26 Away Sollentuna 1 - 2 Win
Jun 24, 26 Home Piteå 3 - 1 Win

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Karlberg 17 7 3 7 28 25 +3 24
16 Piteå 17 2 5 10 17 35 -18 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.69% likelihood that both Piteå and Karlberg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Karlberg to win
This prediction indicates that Karlberg has a 54.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.23 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Ettan - Norra

Karlberg vs AFC Eskilstuna 5 hours from now · 2 p.m. › Assyriska FF vs gefle IF 10 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Vasalund vs Stocksund 5 hours from now · 2 p.m. › Umeå FC vs Enköping 5 hours from now · 2 p.m. › Hammarby Talang vs Piteå 8 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Arlanda vs FBK Karlstad 8 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›