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USL Championship

July 26, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Rhode Island
Pittsburgh Riverhounds L D W W W L
Rhode Island L D W L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Rhode Island 1 - 0 November 15, 2025
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Rhode Island 2 - 0 August 2, 2025
Rhode Island Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 - 1 May 24, 2025
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Rhode Island 2 - 0 September 7, 2024
Rhode Island Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 - 0 April 13, 2024

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Home Brooklyn 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Away Hartford Athletic 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Home Indy Eleven 1 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Home Miami FC 2 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Louisville City 0 - 2 Win
May 2, 26 Home Phoenix Rising 0 - 1 Loss

Rhode Island Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 9, 26 Away Sacramento Republic 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Orange County SC 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Loudoun United 1 - 4 Win
May 30, 26 Away Indy Eleven 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Brooklyn 4 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Home Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 1 Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 13 6 2 5 15 15 0 20
18 Rhode Island 12 4 4 4 22 16 +6 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.78% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Pittsburgh Riverhounds has a 40.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.72 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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